Posted by deanna on October 19, 2007, 10:46 am
The NHC update at 10 AM seems to be good news|
for La Manzanilla. The storm track has been moved
further to the west and, even though they're still predicting that Kiko will strengthen to hurricane force by 8 PM tomorrow, it should be further offshore from us by than Hurricane Lane was last year. The size of the storm at that time will determine how much wind and rain we get as it passes by. If you look at the NHC site graphic for wind probabiities, it shows a 30 to 40% probability that we'll see storm force winds along this part of the coast within the next 48 hours. The past two days show what an inexact science storm prediction continues to be - and also why we shouldn't be complacent about any one forecast. The next public advisory will be at 1 PM.
The good news is that we're getting much-needed rain
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