Re: Tropical Storm Norbert
Posted by deanna on October 5, 2008, 1:53 pm, in reply to "Tropical Storm Norbert"
1 PM update: |
TROPICAL STORM NORBERT AT 14.6N 101.9W AT 05/1500 UTC OR ABOUT 215 NM S OF ZIHUATANEJO MEXICO MOVING W-NW OR 290 DEG AT 7 KT. ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRES 997 MB. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WIND SPEED 50 WITH GUSTS TO 55 KT. REFER TO LATEST NHC FORECAST/ ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCMEP5/WTPZ25 KNHC AND INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY UNDER AWIPS/WMO HEADERS MIATCPEP5/WTPZ35 KNHC FOR MORE DETAILS. SE WIND SHEAR OVER NORBERT HAS DIMINISH ALLOWING SYSTEM TO ORGANIZE LOW LEVEL DEEP CONVECTION AND INTENSIFY. CLOUDS HAVE NOW WRAPPED AROUND CLOSER TO CENTER AND OUTFLOW HAS TAKEN A WELL ROUNDED SHAPE INDICATING STRENGTHENING. IN ADDITION...NORBERT IS APPROACHING AREA OF FAIRLY STRONG UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE WHICH COULD ACT AS A
CATALYST TO INTENSIFY SYSTEM. AS CONDITIONS STAND NOW...NORBERT IS FORECAST TO ACQUIRE HURRICANE FORCE WINDS WITHIN 24 HRS.
Still no indication that it will come closer to the
coast. There's a new system very far south - off El
Salvador now - that may be developing on the heels of Norbert. Computer models for that system (Invest 92) show it possibly tracking the coastline much closer than Norbert will, and maybe with the two systems interacting (not sure how that would work, but it would be interesting).
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