La Manzanilla.info Message Board Archives

Rain report

Posted by Bret B on July 21, 2014, 9:48 am
187.148.170.127

I got 0.28" so far this morning, with some more light rain still falling. It's cooling us down nicely, and we've been needing that.

The rain came with a couple hours of heavy thunderstorm action starting around 5AM. There were literally thousands of lightning flashes over the couple hours; sometimes several strokes per second! Luckily they were mostly up in the clouds. I only heard two or three hitting nearby. I think that was the most frequent and sustained lightning I have ever seen!

Soon after the lightning began we started getting strong wind gusts out of the approaching thunderstorm complex. I think they were coming mostly from the east or southeast, and they were gusting up to maybe 40 MPH here at my place.

Then the rain came, but not very heavy. I'll bet other locations nearby got more than I did. No reports from Melaque/Barra on the Tomzap forum.

This was one of those big red blobs as seen on the IR satellite loop ( http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/epac/flash-avn.html ). They appear fairly frequently this time of year, but they rarely hit us directly like this one did. This wasn't part of any organized tropical storm. The breeding grounds are fairly quiet lately.

Here is a screen shot of the loop at 6AM La Manz time (La Manz is located just to the right of the dashed line of longitude (105° west)):



The power never went out at my place: amazing!

Anyone have any wind damage or heavy rain reports?
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Re: Rain report

Posted by Bret B on July 21, 2014, 10:18 am, in reply to "Rain report"
187.148.170.127

And here is a video clip of the GOES-West IR satellite loop (repeating three times.) You can see that it was pretty much a direct hit:

BigRedBlob Video
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Re: Rain report

Posted by Dobie on July 21, 2014, 12:52 pm, in reply to "Re: Rain report"
187.148.42.11

1 1/2" of rain fell here in El Rebalsito. Power was out until about an hour ago.
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Re: Rain report

Posted by Paul on July 21, 2014, 1:43 pm, in reply to "Rain report"
187.210.230.11

Did you see this coming or was it a surprise and do you expect any substantial rain in the next 2-3 days
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Re: Rain report

Posted by Bret B on July 21, 2014, 5:55 pm, in reply to "Re: Rain report"
187.148.170.127

No, I didn't have any warning about this morning's red blob, any more than the usual daily chance of thunderstorms. Sometimes they hit us, but usually they don't. When they do hit, it's usually in the wee hours like last night. Except for the strong gusty winds and the incredible lightning show, it was pretty normal for us. Also normal for us is the several dry days between thunderstorms.

As far as the rain forecast for the next couple days, I don't see any sign of "organized" tropical storm development. And nothing to note as far as special thunderstorm triggers (such as passing tropical waves or unusual surface troughs.) So the Weather Underground's forecast is as good as anything else: http://www.wunderground.com/q/locid:MXJO0760

I recommend cutting their forecasted chance of thunderstorms in half, at least. Their trending might be about right though.
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Re: Rain report

Posted by Mazinka on July 21, 2014, 2:35 pm, in reply to "Rain report"
187.146.137.13

According to Wunderground, there's a chance of thunderstorms every day this week
http://www.wunderground.com/weather-forecast/zmw:00000.1.76653[/url
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