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Invest 92

Posted by Bret B on May 17, 2012, 8:42 am

Now that Aletta has weakened back to a depression far south of us, there is another storm brewing right behind it. This one is taking its time to become organized. The computer models on Invest 92 have been literally all over the map the last couple days, but today a couple models do show it moving near the SW Mexican coast in 3 or 4 or 5 days, possibly at hurricane strength.

It only has a 30% chance of becoming a tropical storm in the next 48 hrs, but I thought I would give a heads-up in case anyone else has their roof torn apart. (I'm finally putting the last coat on mine today...)

Here's the quickest link to check for any active or brewing storms in the East Pacific:

And here is Invest 92's computer models this morning:

The good 'ol E. Pac. IR satellite loop shows more clouds and (maybe) rains within a couple hundred miles than we've seen for months:

The high-tech TRMM satellite's latest rainfall pass shows rains from Invest 92 are not too far from the coast to our south already, and there were some overnight thunderstorm rains not too far inland from Manzanillo:

Last night we had our first big crab (low-tech rain predictor) scuttling around on our back patio: the rains are getting closer!

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