on May 23, 2012, 8:29 am, in reply to "TS Bud: might bring heavy rains"187.146.74.149
Re: TS Bud: Weaker but still a rain threat
Posted by Bret B on May 23, 2012, 8:29 am, in reply to "TS Bud: might bring heavy rains"
187.146.74.149
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Peter & Judy: no, they haven't got their boats out of the water this time. Still plenty of time for that if they decide to. Bud's AM forecast has it not reaching hurricane strength at all now, but its track has been adjusted more toward us (a little north of here actually.) It's now predicted to head toward us, then slow down and turn almost 180 degrees away from us and to NOT make landfall. If it follows this script, we would probably not get much wind, but the rains could come and stay for a day or two or three (or four) as the storm lingers offshore from us. I would guess the rains could start tomorrow, but more likely Friday. Tracking prediction: http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tracking/ep201202.html GOES infrared satellite loop showing the clouds still a ways from us: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/epac/flash-avn.html Latest TRMM satellite radar picture showing rains are still far away: http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov/trmm_rain/americas/americas_3hrly_zoom.gif More later as it develops. |
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