Re: Tropical storm outlook: Fri AM

Posted by Bret B on August 10, 2012, 10:15 am, in reply to "Tropical storm outlook: chance of rain?"
187.146.77.224

Ernesto's remnant circulation has spawned off a big powerful blob of thunderstorms that is moving up the coast toward us this morning: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/epac/flash-avn.html. The cloud cover is already building overhead. The center of the blob is a little offshore, but I think we still might get some thunderstorms this morning, some possibly severe. The center of ex-Ernesto is still inland over Guerrero state, but it's forecast to proceed into the Pacific and head westward: Later into the weekend, it may re-develop into a new named storm. It might affect us quite a bit if it strengthens before it gets too far away from us. From the NHC Tropical Weather Discussion: "THE MID-LEVEL REMNANT CIRCULATION OF ATLANTIC TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE EASTERN PACIFIC OCEAN IN A DAY OR SO. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT AFTER THAT TIME. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE OF TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION OFF THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS..." We'll definitely need to keep an eye on this one, since it's an unusual case...

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