TS Raymond

Posted by Bret B on October 20, 2013, 9:54 am
201.138.180.214

Well, just when we thought the tropical storm season was winding down, TS Raymond develops in just a couple days out of Invest 96E! Raymond is predicted to reach Cat 1 hurricane strength in a couple days as it drifts toward the SW coast of Mexico near Guerrero and Michoacan. The computer models are literally all over the map, so the center could be any where within the large error circles (see tracking chart below) by Tuesday & Wednesday. The 5 day forecast is even more vague. They think it will approach the coast then do a 180 and go back out to sea. This time of year the upper level steering currents are very changeable. The center isn't supposed to get close to us, but we'll have to keep an eye on this one. Even if we don't get the winds we could get some rains. The GOES IR loop already show some outlying blobs streaming past us to the south, and some visible circulation just coming into view. (If you want to see storms that are too far east to show on the GOES-West satellite, go to the GOES-East one (see link below.)) And finally thanks to the US government shutdown being over (again, for now, maybe) the NASA website that hosts the TRMM radar satellite images is back up, just in time for Raymond! http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/eastern-pacific/2013/Tropical-Storm-Raymond (Tiny Pic photo uploader not working right now: imagine an image of the tracking chart right here) GOES-West IR loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/west/epac/flash-avn.html GOES-East IR loop: http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/flash-avn.html TRMM radar-measured rainfall: http://trmm.gsfc.nasa.gov/publications_dir/regional_americas.html

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