Re: Storm

Posted by Katharine on November 16, 2013, 9:25 am, in reply to "Storm"
200.95.171.166

I pulled this from the NOAA website just a few minutes ago. The coordinates refer to a position in the ocean west of us, not sure how far. LOW PRES OF 1006 MB IS CENTERED NEAR 18N111W. THIS LOW PRESSURE CENTER IS EXPERIENCING STRONG SW SHEAR AND AS A RESULT...THE NUMEROUS MODERATE TO STRONG CONVECTION IS FOUND WITHIN 330 NM NE QUADRANT OF LOW. THE LOW IS MOVING OVER WATERS WITH WARM OCEANIC HEAT CONTENT AND IN AN ENVIRONMENT WITH ABUNDANT TROPICAL MOISTURE...HOWEVER...THE SW SHEAR OVER THE SYSTEM MAY BE TOO MUCH TO OVERCOME FOR TROPICAL CYCLOGENESIS. THE CURRENT NHC FORECAST GIVES THE SYSTEM A MEDIUM CHANCE TO DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 48 HOURS. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...THE SYSTEM WILL BRING HEAVY RAINFALL TO PORTIONS OF SW MEXICO THIS WEEKEND...ESPECIALLY FROM THE STATES OF MICHOACAN TO THE SOUTHERN HALF OF SINALOA. THE HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THIS MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN WILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES.

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