La Manzanilla.info Message Board Archives

Invest 99E

Posted by Bret B on August 12, 2014, 11:40 am
187.148.142.74

The hurricane season has been passing us by for several weeks now, with all the action happening well to our southwest and west. Hawaii got 2 of "our" storms, one after the other (Iselle and Julio.) They rarely get hurricanes there.

But this Invest 99E is developing closer to our normal "breeding grounds," so maybe things are starting to return to normal in our region. We might have a small chance of getting some rain from this Imvest, or just from all of the heavy moisture that's been infiltrating our area for the last couple of days.

Excerpt from the NHC Tropical Weather Outlook on Invest 99E ( http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/gtwo.php?basin=epac&fdays=5 ):
"A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave is located a few hundred miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico. Shower activity has not become any better organized since yesterday, but environmental conditions remain conducive for development, and a tropical depression could form within the next day or two while the system moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent."

Weather Underground computer models ( http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/east-pacific/2014/invest-99E?map=model ):

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