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Hurricane Beatriz

Posted by deanna on June 20, 2011, 10:02 pm
187.146.81.39


It appears that Beatriz may come ashore south of us tonight or early tomorrow. If not, it will pass close by, but offshore, in the morning.


800 PM PDT MON JUN 20 2011

...BEATRIZ BECOMES A HURRICANE...CENTER VERY NEAR THE SOUTHWEST
COAST OF MEXICO...

LOCATION...18.0N 103.5W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...75 MPH...120 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BEATRIZ WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH ...LONGITUDE 103.5 WEST. BEATRIZ IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/H...AND A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND WEST NORTHWEST IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF THE HURRICANE WILL BE MOVING VERY NEAR OR OVER THE COAST OF MEXICO IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA OVERNIGHT...AND MOVING AWAY FROM THE COAST BY LATE TUESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. BEATRIZ IS A CATEGORY ONE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE IF THE CENTER REMAINS OVER WATER DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES...45 KM...FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105
MILES...165 KM.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.


More detail:

http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/ep201102.disc.html#a_topad


Wind speed probabilities:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#BEATRIZ


Best grapics:

http://www.stormpulse.com/pacific


I'm off to bed - hope everyone is prepared for whatever
the night may bring.
603


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